ALLSHIFT/docs/05-business-economics/cost-analysis.md
pepe 72dd781dbc Organize documentation into docs/ and superseded/
Audit every document in the repository, convert the non-markdown ones into
markdown reports, and split current documentation from outdated material.

docs/ — 31 markdown documents in seven numbered sections. Twenty are new
reports generated from .docx / .pdf / .xlsx / .mlx / .m sources that were
previously unreadable in the browser and undiffable in git. Each report
carries a provenance block (source path, format, MD5) and links back to its
original; all 13 recorded checksums verify against the files on disk.
Machine-extraction losses (PDF table column interleaving, Word OMML
equations, embedded figures) are called out explicitly rather than silently
smoothed over.

superseded/ — outdated material with a documented reason per entry:
two byte-identical ClickUp re-exports, an older revision of the BIDMC/UCSD
energy-flow doc (the retained copy adds the SoC Violation Rate KPI), a
duplicate of Shift input data.docx, the May 2026 simulation plan, the
root PV+Battery.md now covered by a fuller report, GitHub's stock
demo-repository template, and a zero-byte placeholder. Its README also
records what was deliberately NOT retired and why — the "Old Frameworks"
and "Old Simulations" folders hold unique Simulink revisions, and
"Big Ugly Folder" holds the only copy of framework revision 1.3.

Findings worth flagging, all documented in the reports:
- Simulink lineage recovered from each .slx's internal coreProperties.xml
  revision counter. The current model is
  Current Framework/Bobert0206_Initial_Simulation_Framework.slx (rev 2.7);
  the top-level copy is rev 1.3, five revisions behind.
- Simulations/Constants.m is a truncated byte-prefix of the Current
  Framework copy, silently missing H2_leak, H2_cap and E_H2_vol_h.
- The PEM electrolyser and fuel cell are unmodified MathWorks Simscape
  examples still at vendor defaults; the "10x bigger" sizing TODO recorded
  in Constants.m was never carried out.
- controller-claude.m does not compile — undefined P_Electro_max, outputs
  unassigned on several paths.
- The specification set uses two incompatible variable naming conventions
  and disagrees on action-space size (5 vs 16).
- MA_hourly_load.csv (13.7 MB) is the same 35,040 rows as 89993-0.parquet
  (2.4 MB).
- Clinical data is the MIMIC-IV *demo* (ODbL, 100 patients), not full
  MIMIC-IV — redistributable, but the licence and citation are unrecorded.

Housekeeping: untrack 21 Simulink build artefacts (slprj/, *.slxc) and add
ignore rules for them. Root README rewritten around the new layout.

Recruitment notes naming individual candidates are excluded from version
control via .gitignore rather than committed; the generic question template
is kept in docs/07-team-and-operations/.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-25 21:20:33 -07:00

28 KiB
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Cost Analysis Excel File

All_parameters

index Category Parameter Symbol Units Value SourceType SourceRef WhyItMatters Status
35 AI Additional CO₂ savings vs rule-based ΔCO2^(S2-S1) kg/year ModelOutput Emission factors + model Shows climate benefit of AI beyond existing pilot. Missing
34 AI Additional gas savings vs rule-based ΔV_gas^(S2-S1) m³/year ModelOutput Thermal model + AI scheduling Extra gas reduction thanks to smarter use of FC heat. Missing
31 AI Average effective electricity price paid for H₂ p_H2_el^(S2) €/kWh ModelOutput Use hourly tariffs and AI schedule Feeds into levelised cost of hydrogen. Missing
32 AI Cost of electricity from hydrogen (AI) C_H2^(S2) €/kWh ModelOutput From E_el, η_FC, p_H2_el Compare vs peak grid price to see if H₂ is cheaper. Missing
30 AI Energy shifted from peak to off-peak ΔE_shift MWh/year ModelOutput Simulation of net grid imports Key quantity for calculating € savings from off-peak shifting. Missing
29 AI Increase in off-peak H₂ production vs S1 Δβ_off percentage points ModelOutput Compare S2 vs S1 Shows how much extra off-peak shifting AI achieves. Missing
33 AI Peak demand reduction (peak shaving) ΔP_peak kW ModelOutput Net load analysis Reduced contracted capacity/peak charges → extra savings. Missing
28 AI Share of H₂ production done off-peak β_off^(S2) % ModelOutput RL/AI simulation with ToU tariffs Core KPI for off-peak generation savings. Missing
10 Demand Annual electricity demand of hospital E_hosp MWh/year 1000 Public Rijnstate Elst hydrogen project description 1,000 MWh/year consumption Base load used to scale PV/H2 coverage and express % cost and CO₂ savings. Confirmed
14 Demand Baseline annual gas consumption V_gas_0 m³/year Internal Gas utility bills Baseline fossil gas use to compare against H₂-based heating and FC heat recovery. Missing
12 Demand Hourly load profile L_t kW (time series) Internal SCADA / metering data Essential to simulate operation of PV, H₂, battery and grid. Missing
11 Demand Peak electrical demand P_peak kW Internal Load curve / SCADA Needed to quantify peak shaving from H₂ and batteries. Missing
13 Demand Share of critical loads α_crit % of total load Internal Hospital engineering department Used to quantify resilience and guaranteed power to ICUs etc. Missing
23 Pilot Annual gas savings (rule-based pilot) ΔV_gas^(S1) m³/year 42000 Public Rijnstate H₂ pilot article Reference performance of current P2P system vs old baseline. Confirmed
24 Pilot CO₂ avoided (rule-based pilot, annualised) ΔCO2^(S1) kg/year 133333 Derived 2,000,000 kg CO₂ over 15 years reported by PowiDian → ≈133,333 kg/year Baseline CO₂ savings from rule-based system. Derived
47 Pilot Cumulative CO₂ avoided over 15 years (rule-based pilot) m_CO2_avoid_15y kg CO₂ 2000000 Public Rijnstate pilot figures 2,000,000 kg CO₂ avoided over 15 years. Headline climate impact metric for the existing system, used as baseline to compare AI gains. Confirmed
46 Pilot Cumulative gas savings over 15 years (rule-based pilot) V_gas_save_15y 600000 Public Rijnstate pilot figures approx. 600,000 m³ gas saved over 15 years. Long-horizon view of gas savings; useful for NPV and business case. Confirmed
25 Pilot Energy self-sufficiency (rule-based) SS^(S1) % of annual demand 60 Public Rijnstate hydrogen system articles target up to 60% self-sufficiency Indicates share of electricity demand covered by local PV+H₂+FC under rule-based control. Confirmed
27 Pilot Fuel cell power profile (rule-based) P_FC_t^(S1) kW Internal/Model SCADA / H2B2-PowiDian control Indicates when H₂ displaces grid power today. Missing
26 Pilot Hydrogen production profile (rule-based) m_H2_t^(S1) kg/hour Internal/Model SCADA / H2B2 control logic Used for comparison with AI-controlled operation. Missing
15 Prices Average electricity price p_el_avg €/kWh 0,18 Secondary Anchored on NL non-household medium electricity prices ~0.15 €/kWh (Eurostat/TradingEconomics) plus network/taxes For high-level cost savings estimation. Estimated
22 Prices Carbon price / shadow price p_CO2 €/ton CO₂ 70 Secondary EU ETS allowance prices in 20242025 mostly in €6575/tCO₂ range; mid-value 70 €/t used Optional: lets us monetise CO₂ reductions. Estimated
20 Prices Grid CO₂ emission factor ε_el kg CO₂/kWh 0,315 Public PowiDian Rijnstate case: Dutch grid emits on average 0.315 kg CO₂ per kWh consumed Used to convert reduced grid imports into CO₂ savings. Confirmed
48 Prices Grid electricity CO₂ emission factor (Netherlands) ε_el kg CO₂/kWh 0,315 Public PowiDian case Dutch grid emits on average 0.315 kg CO₂ per kWh. Used to translate reduced grid imports into CO₂ savings. Confirmed
18 Prices Grid tariff reduction for off-peak grid_disc_off % 65 Secondary TenneT flexible off-peak contracts can reduce grid tariffs by up to ~65% for large users Impacts savings from shifting load away from congested periods. Estimated
21 Prices Natural gas CO₂ emission factor ε_gas kg CO₂/m³ 1,79 Secondary RVO NL "CO2 emission factors for fuels" list: 56.5 kg CO₂/GJ and 31.65 MJ/m³ → ≈1.79 kg CO₂/m³ Used to quantify CO₂ savings from reduced gas usage. Estimated
19 Prices Natural gas price p_gas €/m³ 0,6 Secondary Based on NL non-household gas prices ~0.040.08 €/kWh (Eurostat/CEIC) and ~10 kWh per m³ → ~0.40.8 €/m³; mid-range 0.60 €/m³ used Gas savings (€) = gas saved (m³) × p_gas. Estimated
17 Prices Off-peak electricity price p_off €/kWh 0,14 Secondary Assumed ~20% below average NL non-household electricity price for valley hours Used to value electricity used for off-peak hydrogen production. Estimated
16 Prices Peak electricity price p_peak €/kWh 0,22 Secondary Assumed ~20% above average NL non-household electricity price to represent peak ToU tariff Used to value avoided grid imports at peak times. Estimated
8 System Battery energy capacity E_bat kWh 500 Secondary Order-of-magnitude assumption based on similar PVH2 microgrid projects (hundreds of kWh Li-ion BESS) Short-term storage for intra-day balancing and peak shaving. Estimated
9 System Battery round-trip efficiency η_bat - 0,9 Secondary Li-ion stationary storage typically achieves 8595% round-trip efficiency Impacts whether AI should prefer battery vs hydrogen. Estimated
41 System Effective electrical energy per kg of stored H₂ e_H2,eff kWh/kg H₂ 33 Derived 6.6 MWh / 200 kg ≈ 33 kWh/kg usable electrical energy equivalent. Helps approximate coverage time and compare with other storage technologies. Approximate
36 System Electrolyzer hydrogen production rate Ṽ_H2,el Nm³ H₂ / h 20 Public PowiDian / Rijnstate article 20 Nm³/h electrolyzer Links kW input to hydrogen flow; used to derive kWh/kg H₂ and cost per kg. Confirmed
37 System Electrolyzer hydrogen production rate (mass) ṁ_H2,el kg H₂ / h 1,8 Derived 20 Nm³/h × 0.0899 kg/Nm³ ≈ 1.8 kg/h Used together with power to compute specific energy consumption and H₂ availability per hour. Approximate
2 System Electrolyzer rated power P_el kW 100 Public Rijnstate electrolyzer spec (H2B2) Limits rate of converting cheap electricity into hydrogen. Confirmed
3 System Electrolyzer specific energy consumption E_el kWh/kg H₂ 55,6 Derived 100 kW electrolyzer / 1.8 kg H₂ per hour ≈ 55.6 kWh/kg Determines cost and efficiency of converting electricity into hydrogen. Approximate
50 System Environmental classification of hydrogen installation env_class - Milieuklasse 3 Public Rijnstate article installation falls under environmental class 3 as closed system. Indicates permitting complexity and replicability in similar zoning contexts. Confirmed
6 System Fuel cell electrical efficiency η_FC - 0,6 Secondary Typical PEM fuel cell electrical efficiency for stationary 100 kW systems (~5060%) Used to compute kWh output from each kg of H₂. Estimated
42 System Fuel cell inlet hydrogen pressure p_FC_in bar 8 Public Rijnstate description pressure reduced from 30 bar to 8 bar for FC. Relevant for modelling regulation valves, efficiency and safety. Confirmed
5 System Fuel cell rated power P_FC kW 100 Public Rijnstate fuel cell spec (PowiDian) Maximum power that can be supplied from H₂ instead of grid. Confirmed
43 System Fuel cell waste heat temperature T_FC_heat °C 80 Public Rijnstate article fuel cell heat available at ~80°C. Determines usefulness of waste heat for domestic hot water and space heating. Confirmed
44 System Hot water supply temperature from FC heat T_HW_supply °C 5060 Public Rijnstate description heat exchanger cools to 5060°C for building systems. Indicates compatibility with hospital hot water and heating circuits. Confirmed
45 System Hydrogen pipeline diameter to fuel cell D_pipe mm 12 Public Rijnstate article 12 mm hydrogen pipeline from tanks to FC. Relevant for flow constraints and pressure drop in the hydrogen supply line. Confirmed
4 System Hydrogen storage capacity M_H2_max kg 200 Public Rijnstate H₂ storage spec (PowiDian) Defines how much off-peak energy can be buffered as hydrogen. Confirmed
39 System Hydrogen storage pressure p_store bar 30 Public Rijnstate H₂ storage at 30 bar Determines storage density and safety classification; relevant for modelling compression losses. Confirmed
51 System Hydrogen system remote monitoring and leak detection H2_monitor yes/no Yes Public Rijnstate description remote monitoring and H₂ leak sensors around installation. Supports claims around safety, resilience and AI-enabled monitoring. Confirmed
49 System Number of hydrogen system containers N_containers - 2 Public Rijnstate description two containers: one for production, one for FC and power conversion. Gives physical layout; relevant for replication at other hospitals (footprint). Confirmed
38 System Number of hydrogen tanks N_tanks - 2 Public Rijnstate hydrogen system description two 100 kg tanks Clarifies modularity and possible expansion (space for a third tank). Confirmed
0 System PV area A_PV 2300 Public Rijnstate H2 P2P case Used to estimate PV capacity and annual kWh production. Confirmed
1 System PV capacity (approx.) P_PV kWp 460 Secondary Estimated from 2,300 m² PV area × ~0.2 kWp/m² (typical crystalline PV specific power) Needed to simulate PV generation profile. Estimated
7 System Recoverable heat fraction from FC η_heat - 0,45 Secondary Typical CHP fuel cell installations recover ~4050% of input as usable heat If heat replaces gas boiler heat, adds extra gas savings. Estimated
40 System Usable stored hydrogen energy E_H2,store MWh 6,6 Public Rijnstate article 200 kg at 30 bar corresponds to 6.6 MWh. Quantifies how long the hospital can run on stored hydrogen at a given power. Confirmed

Missing parameters

index Category Parameter Symbol Units Value SourceType SourceRef WhyItMatters Status
35 AI Additional CO₂ savings vs rule-based ΔCO2^(S2-S1) kg/year ModelOutput Emission factors + model Shows climate benefit of AI beyond existing pilot. Missing
34 AI Additional gas savings vs rule-based ΔV_gas^(S2-S1) m³/year ModelOutput Thermal model + AI scheduling Extra gas reduction thanks to smarter use of FC heat. Missing
31 AI Average effective electricity price paid for H₂ p_H2_el^(S2) €/kWh ModelOutput Use hourly tariffs and AI schedule Feeds into levelised cost of hydrogen. Missing
32 AI Cost of electricity from hydrogen (AI) C_H2^(S2) €/kWh ModelOutput From E_el, η_FC, p_H2_el Compare vs peak grid price to see if H₂ is cheaper. Missing
30 AI Energy shifted from peak to off-peak ΔE_shift MWh/year ModelOutput Simulation of net grid imports Key quantity for calculating € savings from off-peak shifting. Missing
29 AI Increase in off-peak H₂ production vs S1 Δβ_off percentage points ModelOutput Compare S2 vs S1 Shows how much extra off-peak shifting AI achieves. Missing
33 AI Peak demand reduction (peak shaving) ΔP_peak kW ModelOutput Net load analysis Reduced contracted capacity/peak charges → extra savings. Missing
28 AI Share of H₂ production done off-peak β_off^(S2) % ModelOutput RL/AI simulation with ToU tariffs Core KPI for off-peak generation savings. Missing
14 Demand Baseline annual gas consumption V_gas_0 m³/year Internal Gas utility bills Baseline fossil gas use to compare against H₂-based heating and FC heat recovery. Missing
12 Demand Hourly load profile L_t kW (time series) Internal SCADA / metering data Essential to simulate operation of PV, H₂, battery and grid. Missing
11 Demand Peak electrical demand P_peak kW Internal Load curve / SCADA Needed to quantify peak shaving from H₂ and batteries. Missing
13 Demand Share of critical loads α_crit % of total load Internal Hospital engineering department Used to quantify resilience and guaranteed power to ICUs etc. Missing
27 Pilot Fuel cell power profile (rule-based) P_FC_t^(S1) kW Internal/Model SCADA / H2B2-PowiDian control Indicates when H₂ displaces grid power today. Missing
26 Pilot Hydrogen production profile (rule-based) m_H2_t^(S1) kg/hour Internal/Model SCADA / H2B2 control logic Used for comparison with AI-controlled operation. Missing

Directly derrived values and secondary souced values

index Category Parameter Symbol Units Value SourceType SourceRef WhyItMatters Status
10 Demand Annual electricity demand of hospital E_hosp MWh/year 1000 Public Rijnstate Elst hydrogen project description 1,000 MWh/year consumption Base load used to scale PV/H2 coverage and express % cost and CO₂ savings. Confirmed
23 Pilot Annual gas savings (rule-based pilot) ΔV_gas^(S1) m³/year 42000 Public Rijnstate H₂ pilot article Reference performance of current P2P system vs old baseline. Confirmed
24 Pilot CO₂ avoided (rule-based pilot, annualised) ΔCO2^(S1) kg/year 133333 Derived 2,000,000 kg CO₂ over 15 years reported by PowiDian → ≈133,333 kg/year Baseline CO₂ savings from rule-based system. Derived
47 Pilot Cumulative CO₂ avoided over 15 years (rule-based pilot) m_CO2_avoid_15y kg CO₂ 2000000 Public Rijnstate pilot figures 2,000,000 kg CO₂ avoided over 15 years. Headline climate impact metric for the existing system, used as baseline to compare AI gains. Confirmed
46 Pilot Cumulative gas savings over 15 years (rule-based pilot) V_gas_save_15y 600000 Public Rijnstate pilot figures approx. 600,000 m³ gas saved over 15 years. Long-horizon view of gas savings; useful for NPV and business case. Confirmed
25 Pilot Energy self-sufficiency (rule-based) SS^(S1) % of annual demand 60 Public Rijnstate hydrogen system articles target up to 60% self-sufficiency Indicates share of electricity demand covered by local PV+H₂+FC under rule-based control. Confirmed
20 Prices Grid CO₂ emission factor ε_el kg CO₂/kWh 0,315 Public PowiDian Rijnstate case: Dutch grid emits on average 0.315 kg CO₂ per kWh consumed Used to convert reduced grid imports into CO₂ savings. Confirmed
48 Prices Grid electricity CO₂ emission factor (Netherlands) ε_el kg CO₂/kWh 0,315 Public PowiDian case Dutch grid emits on average 0.315 kg CO₂ per kWh. Used to translate reduced grid imports into CO₂ savings. Confirmed
41 System Effective electrical energy per kg of stored H₂ e_H2,eff kWh/kg H₂ 33 Derived 6.6 MWh / 200 kg ≈ 33 kWh/kg usable electrical energy equivalent. Helps approximate coverage time and compare with other storage technologies. Approximate
36 System Electrolyzer hydrogen production rate Ṽ_H2,el Nm³ H₂ / h 20 Public PowiDian / Rijnstate article 20 Nm³/h electrolyzer Links kW input to hydrogen flow; used to derive kWh/kg H₂ and cost per kg. Confirmed
37 System Electrolyzer hydrogen production rate (mass) ṁ_H2,el kg H₂ / h 1,8 Derived 20 Nm³/h × 0.0899 kg/Nm³ ≈ 1.8 kg/h Used together with power to compute specific energy consumption and H₂ availability per hour. Approximate
2 System Electrolyzer rated power P_el kW 100 Public Rijnstate electrolyzer spec (H2B2) Limits rate of converting cheap electricity into hydrogen. Confirmed
3 System Electrolyzer specific energy consumption E_el kWh/kg H₂ 55,6 Derived 100 kW electrolyzer / 1.8 kg H₂ per hour ≈ 55.6 kWh/kg Determines cost and efficiency of converting electricity into hydrogen. Approximate
50 System Environmental classification of hydrogen installation env_class - Milieuklasse 3 Public Rijnstate article installation falls under environmental class 3 as closed system. Indicates permitting complexity and replicability in similar zoning contexts. Confirmed
42 System Fuel cell inlet hydrogen pressure p_FC_in bar 8 Public Rijnstate description pressure reduced from 30 bar to 8 bar for FC. Relevant for modelling regulation valves, efficiency and safety. Confirmed
5 System Fuel cell rated power P_FC kW 100 Public Rijnstate fuel cell spec (PowiDian) Maximum power that can be supplied from H₂ instead of grid. Confirmed
43 System Fuel cell waste heat temperature T_FC_heat °C 80 Public Rijnstate article fuel cell heat available at ~80°C. Determines usefulness of waste heat for domestic hot water and space heating. Confirmed
44 System Hot water supply temperature from FC heat T_HW_supply °C 5060 Public Rijnstate description heat exchanger cools to 5060°C for building systems. Indicates compatibility with hospital hot water and heating circuits. Confirmed
45 System Hydrogen pipeline diameter to fuel cell D_pipe mm 12 Public Rijnstate article 12 mm hydrogen pipeline from tanks to FC. Relevant for flow constraints and pressure drop in the hydrogen supply line. Confirmed
4 System Hydrogen storage capacity M_H2_max kg 200 Public Rijnstate H₂ storage spec (PowiDian) Defines how much off-peak energy can be buffered as hydrogen. Confirmed
39 System Hydrogen storage pressure p_store bar 30 Public Rijnstate H₂ storage at 30 bar Determines storage density and safety classification; relevant for modelling compression losses. Confirmed
51 System Hydrogen system remote monitoring and leak detection H2_monitor yes/no Yes Public Rijnstate description remote monitoring and H₂ leak sensors around installation. Supports claims around safety, resilience and AI-enabled monitoring. Confirmed
49 System Number of hydrogen system containers N_containers - 2 Public Rijnstate description two containers: one for production, one for FC and power conversion. Gives physical layout; relevant for replication at other hospitals (footprint). Confirmed
38 System Number of hydrogen tanks N_tanks - 2 Public Rijnstate hydrogen system description two 100 kg tanks Clarifies modularity and possible expansion (space for a third tank). Confirmed
0 System PV area A_PV 2300 Public Rijnstate H2 P2P case Used to estimate PV capacity and annual kWh production. Confirmed
40 System Usable stored hydrogen energy E_H2,store MWh 6,6 Public Rijnstate article 200 kg at 30 bar corresponds to 6.6 MWh. Quantifies how long the hospital can run on stored hydrogen at a given power. Confirmed
15 Prices Average electricity price p_el_avg €/kWh 0,18 Secondary Anchored on NL non-household medium electricity prices ~0.15 €/kWh (Eurostat/TradingEconomics) plus network/taxes For high-level cost savings estimation. Estimated
22 Prices Carbon price / shadow price p_CO2 €/ton CO₂ 70 Secondary EU ETS allowance prices in 20242025 mostly in €6575/tCO₂ range; mid-value 70 €/t used Optional: lets us monetise CO₂ reductions. Estimated
18 Prices Grid tariff reduction for off-peak grid_disc_off % 65 Secondary TenneT flexible off-peak contracts can reduce grid tariffs by up to ~65% for large users Impacts savings from shifting load away from congested periods. Estimated
21 Prices Natural gas CO₂ emission factor ε_gas kg CO₂/m³ 1,79 Secondary RVO NL "CO2 emission factors for fuels" list: 56.5 kg CO₂/GJ and 31.65 MJ/m³ → ≈1.79 kg CO₂/m³ Used to quantify CO₂ savings from reduced gas usage. Estimated
19 Prices Natural gas price p_gas €/m³ 0,6 Secondary Based on NL non-household gas prices ~0.040.08 €/kWh (Eurostat/CEIC) and ~10 kWh per m³ → ~0.40.8 €/m³; mid-range 0.60 €/m³ used Gas savings (€) = gas saved (m³) × p_gas. Estimated
17 Prices Off-peak electricity price p_off €/kWh 0,14 Secondary Assumed ~20% below average NL non-household electricity price for valley hours Used to value electricity used for off-peak hydrogen production. Estimated
16 Prices Peak electricity price p_peak €/kWh 0,22 Secondary Assumed ~20% above average NL non-household electricity price to represent peak ToU tariff Used to value avoided grid imports at peak times. Estimated
8 System Battery energy capacity E_bat kWh 500 Secondary Order-of-magnitude assumption based on similar PVH2 microgrid projects (hundreds of kWh Li-ion BESS) Short-term storage for intra-day balancing and peak shaving. Estimated
9 System Battery round-trip efficiency η_bat - 0,9 Secondary Li-ion stationary storage typically achieves 8595% round-trip efficiency Impacts whether AI should prefer battery vs hydrogen. Estimated
6 System Fuel cell electrical efficiency η_FC - 0,6 Secondary Typical PEM fuel cell electrical efficiency for stationary 100 kW systems (~5060%) Used to compute kWh output from each kg of H₂. Estimated
1 System PV capacity (approx.) P_PV kWp 460 Secondary Estimated from 2,300 m² PV area × ~0.2 kWp/m² (typical crystalline PV specific power) Needed to simulate PV generation profile. Estimated
7 System Recoverable heat fraction from FC η_heat - 0,45 Secondary Typical CHP fuel cell installations recover ~4050% of input as usable heat If heat replaces gas boiler heat, adds extra gas savings. Estimated
52 Cost_savings Annual gas bill savings (rule-based pilot vs baseline) C_gas_save^(S1) €/year 25200 Derived ΔV_gas^(S1) * p_gas Monetises the pilots gas savings baseline, used to benchmark AI gains. Derived
53 Cost_savings Annual CO₂ value (rule-based pilot vs baseline) C_CO2_save^(S1) €/year 9333,31 Derived ΔCO2^(S1) / 1000 * p_CO2 Values the rule-based CO₂ reductions using a CO₂ price. Derived
54 AI_scenario Additional annual gas savings enabled by AI vs rule-based ΔV_gas^(S2-S1) m³/year Scenario To be set based on AI controller simulations. Captures extra gas savings potential relative to the current pilot. To be filled (AI scenario)
55 Cost_savings Annual gas bill savings (AI-optimised, total vs baseline) C_gas_save^(S2) €/year 25200 Derived Uses rule-based gas savings plus additional AI gas savings times gas price. Shows total gas bill reduction when AI is deployed. Derived
56 Cost_savings Additional annual gas bill savings from AI vs rule-based ΔC_gas_save^(S2-S1) €/year 0 Derived C_gas_save^(S2) - C_gas_save^(S1) Explicitly quantifies the incremental euro savings from AI on the gas bill. Derived
57 AI_scenario Additional CO₂ avoided by AI vs rule-based ΔCO2^(S2-S1) kg/year Scenario To be set based on AI controller simulations. Captures extra CO₂ savings potential relative to the current pilot. To be filled (AI scenario)
58 Cost_savings Annual CO₂ value (AI-optimised, total vs baseline) C_CO2_save^(S2) €/year 9333,31 Derived Uses rule-based CO₂ savings plus additional AI CO₂ savings times CO₂ price. Shows total CO₂-related value when AI is deployed. Derived
59 Cost_savings Additional annual CO₂ value from AI vs rule-based ΔC_CO2_save^(S2-S1) €/year 0 Derived C_CO2_save^(S2) - C_CO2_save^(S1) Shows extra monetised CO₂ savings due to AI. Derived
60 AI_scenario Energy shifted from peak to off-peak by AI (vs rule-based) ΔE_shift MWh/year Scenario To be set based on AI controller simulations. Quantifies how much load AI moves from expensive to cheap hours. To be filled (AI scenario)
61 Cost_savings Annual energy price savings from peak→off-peak shifting (AI vs rule-based) C_shift €/year 0 Derived ΔE_shift * 1000 * (p_peak - p_off) Values the benefit of buying more electricity off-peak instead of at peak prices. Derived
62 AI_scenario Reduction in grid peak demand enabled by AI vs rule-based ΔP_peak kW Scenario To be set based on AI controller simulations. Captures reduction in contracted/measured peak load due to AI scheduling. To be filled (AI scenario)
63 Prices Grid capacity tariff (indicative, adjust to contract) p_cap €/kW/year 100 Secondary Indicative Dutch-style capacity tariff; replace with hospital-specific value. Allows monetisation of ΔP_peak as annual euro savings. Estimated
64 Cost_savings Annual capacity tariff savings from AI vs rule-based C_cap_save €/year 0 Derived ΔP_peak * p_cap Values the benefit of reducing grid peak demand through AI scheduling. Derived

Cost Savings (Needs the missing values to show valuable info)

Metric Symbol Units Baseline S0 (no H₂) Rule-based S1 (pilot) AI-optimised S2 Δ S1S0 Δ S2S1
Annual gas savings vs baseline ΔV_gas m³/year 0 42000 42000 42000 0
Gas bill savings vs baseline C_gas_save €/year 0 25200 25200 25200 0
CO₂ avoided vs baseline ΔCO2 kg/year 0 133333 133333 133333 0
CO₂ value vs baseline C_CO2_save €/year 0 9333,31 9333,31 9333,31 0
Energy price savings from peak→off-peak shifting C_shift €/year 0 0 0 0 0
Capacity tariff savings C_cap_save €/year 0 0 0 0 0
Total annual impact (gas + CO₂ value + shifting + capacity) C_total €/year 0 167866,31 167866,31 0 0

AI scenario

C_shift^(S2-S1) [€/year] C_cap_save^(S2-S1) [€/year] ΔC_tot^(S2-S1) [€/year] C_tot^(S1-S0) [€/year] C_tot^(S2-S0) [€/year]
4000 5000 10523,13 167866,31 178389,44
8000 10000 21046,26 167866,31 188912,57
16000 15000 35569,39 167866,31 203435,7